2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
South Alabama at Georgia State
Thursday, October 23, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Center Parc Stadium
38
South Alabama
Final
31
Georgia State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 21 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 38 |
| Georgia State | 14 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: South Alabama at 71%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-11
- Rating
- -24.5
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Alabama
71%
Georgia State
29%
Georgia State 90% CI: 22% – 37% Δ rating 11.8
South Alabama is the model's favorite at 71%. Georgia State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.5 rating points baked in for Georgia State — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 23, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Center Parc Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No