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2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game

Troy at UL Monroe

Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 2:00 PM CDT

Malone Stadium

37
Troy
Final
14
UL Monroe
Team 1234 T
Troy 1071010 37
UL Monroe 0860 14

GIE pre-game call: Troy at 80%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Troy
Sun Belt
Record
8-6
Rating
-4.8
National rank
87
Proj. wins
1.0
Playoff prob.
0%
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
Record
3-9
Rating
-21.6
National rank
131
Proj. wins
1.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Troy
80%
UL Monroe
20%
UL Monroe 90% CI: 15% – 26% Δ rating 16.8

Troy is the model's favorite at 80%. UL Monroe has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for UL Monroe — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 2:00 PM CDT
Venue
Malone Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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