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2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game

Georgia State at Georgia Southern

Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

24
Georgia State
Final
41
Georgia Southern
Team 1234 T
Georgia State 71070 24
Georgia Southern 310721 41

GIE pre-game call: Georgia Southern at 93%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Georgia State
Sun Belt
Record
1-11
Rating
-24.5
National rank
133
Proj. wins
0.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
Record
7-6
Rating
-9.4
National rank
103
Proj. wins
0.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Georgia State
7%
Georgia Southern
93%
Georgia Southern 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 15.1

Georgia Southern is the model's favorite at 93%. Georgia State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.7 rating points baked in for Georgia Southern — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
Venue
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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