2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Arkansas State at South Alabama
Tuesday, October 14, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Hancock Whitney Stadium
15
Arkansas State
Final
14
South Alabama
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| South Alabama | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 58%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas State
58%
South Alabama
42%
South Alabama 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 3.9
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 58%. South Alabama has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific night-game value (n=33 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, October 14, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Hancock Whitney Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No