2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game
Troy at Texas State
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 7:00 PM CDT
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
48
Troy
Final
41
Texas State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 7 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 |
| Texas State | 28 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 41 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 73%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 8-6
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
27%
Texas State
73%
Texas State 90% CI: 66% – 80% Δ rating 7.1
Texas State is the model's favorite at 73%. Troy has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 7:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No