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2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game

Air Force at Colorado State

Friday, November 28, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST

Canvas Stadium

42
Air Force
Final
21
Colorado State
Team 1234 T
Air Force 147714 42
Colorado State 0777 21

GIE pre-game call: Air Force at 80%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Air Force
Mountain West
Record
4-8
Rating
-3.2
National rank
80
Proj. wins
6.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Colorado State
Pac-12
Record
2-10
Rating
-15.6
National rank
124
Proj. wins
2.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Air Force
80%
Colorado State
20%
Colorado State 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 12.4

Air Force is the model's favorite at 80%. Colorado State has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 28, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Venue
Canvas Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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