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2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game

Utah State at Fresno State

Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 9:30 PM CST

Valley Children's Stadium

28
Utah State
Final
17
Fresno State
Team 1234 T
Utah State 70714 28
Fresno State 71000 17

GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 71%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Utah State
Pac-12
Record
6-7
Rating
-3.1
National rank
79
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Fresno State
Pac-12
Record
9-4
Rating
1.8
National rank
66
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Utah State
29%
Fresno State
71%
Fresno State 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 4.9

Fresno State is the model's favorite at 71%. Utah State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 9:30 PM CST
Venue
Valley Children's Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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