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2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game

New Mexico at Air Force

Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST

Falcon Stadium

20
New Mexico
Final
3
Air Force
Team 1234 T
New Mexico 71003 20
Air Force 0003 3

GIE pre-game call: New Mexico at 55%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

New Mexico
Mountain West
Record
9-4
Rating
0.9
National rank
73
Proj. wins
7.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Air Force
Mountain West
Record
4-8
Rating
-3.2
National rank
80
Proj. wins
6.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

New Mexico
55%
Air Force
45%
Air Force 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 4.1

New Mexico is the model's favorite at 55%. Air Force has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Air Force — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
Venue
Falcon Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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