2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Utah State at UNLV
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
Allegiant Stadium
26
Utah State
Final
29
UNLV
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 26 |
| UNLV | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 |
GIE pre-game call: UNLV at 75%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 6-7
- Rating
- -3.1
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 10-4
- Rating
- 4.3
- National rank
- 57
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah State
25%
UNLV
75%
UNLV 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 7.4
UNLV is the model's favorite at 75%. Utah State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=29 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No