2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
San José State at Nevada
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Mackay Stadium
10
San José State
Final
55
Nevada
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| Nevada | 14 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 55 |
GIE pre-game call: Nevada at 67%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -14.3
- National rank
- 118
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San José State
33%
Nevada
67%
Nevada 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 0.9
Nevada is the model's favorite at 67%. San José State has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No