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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Colorado State at New Mexico

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST

University Stadium (NM)

17
Colorado State
Final
20
New Mexico
Team 1234 T
Colorado State 00107 17
New Mexico 010010 20

GIE pre-game call: New Mexico at 91%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Colorado State
Pac-12
Record
2-10
Rating
-15.6
National rank
124
Proj. wins
2.8
Playoff prob.
0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
Record
9-4
Rating
0.9
National rank
73
Proj. wins
7.3
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Colorado State
9%
New Mexico
91%
New Mexico 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 16.5

New Mexico is the model's favorite at 91%. Colorado State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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