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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Boise State at San Diego State

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 9:30 PM CST

Snapdragon Stadium

7
Boise State
Final
17
San Diego State
Team 1234 T
Boise State 0700 7
San Diego State 01403 17

GIE pre-game call: San Diego State at 66%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Boise State
Pac-12
Record
9-5
Rating
3.1
National rank
64
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
0%
San Diego State
Pac-12
Record
9-4
Rating
6.7
National rank
43
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Boise State
34%
San Diego State
66%
San Diego State 90% CI: 57% – 74% Δ rating 3.6

San Diego State is the model's favorite at 66%. Boise State has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 9:30 PM CST
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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