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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Nevada at Utah State

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST

Maverik Stadium

14
Nevada
Final
51
Utah State
Team 1234 T
Nevada 0077 14
Utah State 241773 51

GIE pre-game call: Utah State at 85%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Nevada
Mountain West
Record
3-9
Rating
-13.4
National rank
116
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Utah State
Pac-12
Record
6-7
Rating
-3.1
National rank
79
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Nevada
15%
Utah State
85%
Utah State 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 10.3

Utah State is the model's favorite at 85%. Nevada has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Utah State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
Venue
Maverik Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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