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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Air Force at San José State

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 5:00 PM CST

CEFCU Stadium

26
Air Force
Final
16
San José State
Team 1234 T
Air Force 016010 26
San José State 30310 16

GIE pre-game call: Air Force at 75%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Air Force
Mountain West
Record
4-8
Rating
-3.2
National rank
80
Proj. wins
6.4
Playoff prob.
0%
San José State
Mountain West
Record
3-9
Rating
-14.3
National rank
118
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Air Force
75%
San José State
25%
San José State 90% CI: 18% – 32% Δ rating 11.1

Air Force is the model's favorite at 75%. San José State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 5:00 PM CST
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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