4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 10 FINAL

Army at Air Force

Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT

Falcon Stadium

20
Army
Final
17
Air Force
Team 1234 T
Army 73010 20
Air Force 3077 17

GIE pre-game call: Army at 55%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Army
American Athletic
Record
7-6
Rating
0.8
National rank
74
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Air Force
Mountain West
Record
4-8
Rating
-3.2
National rank
80
Proj. wins
6.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Army
55%
Air Force
45%
Air Force 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 4.0

Army is the model's favorite at 55%. Air Force has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Air Force — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Falcon Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home