2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
Utah State at New Mexico
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:00 PM CDT
University Stadium (NM)
14
Utah State
Final
33
New Mexico
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| New Mexico | 7 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 33 |
GIE pre-game call: New Mexico at 68%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 6-7
- Rating
- -3.1
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 0.9
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah State
32%
New Mexico
68%
New Mexico 90% CI: 60% – 76% Δ rating 4.0
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 68%. Utah State has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- University Stadium (NM)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No