2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
San Diego State at Fresno State
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Valley Children's Stadium
23
San Diego State
Final
0
Fresno State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 7 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 23 |
| Fresno State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
GIE pre-game call: San Diego State at 58%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 6.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
58%
Fresno State
42%
Fresno State 90% CI: 33% – 52% Δ rating 4.9
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 58%. Fresno State has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Valley Children's Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No