2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
Boise State at Nevada
Friday, October 24, 2025 · 9:00 PM CDT
Mackay Stadium
24
Boise State
Final
3
Nevada
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
| Nevada | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
GIE pre-game call: Boise State at 81%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 9-5
- Rating
- 3.1
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
81%
Nevada
19%
Nevada 90% CI: 14% – 25% Δ rating 16.5
Boise State is the model's favorite at 81%. Nevada has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 24, 2025 · 9:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No