2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Nevada at New Mexico
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 8:45 PM CDT
University Stadium (NM)
22
Nevada
Final
24
New Mexico
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 22 |
| New Mexico | 7 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: New Mexico at 89%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 0.9
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nevada
11%
New Mexico
89%
New Mexico 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 14.3
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 89%. Nevada has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for New Mexico — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 8:45 PM CDT
- Venue
- University Stadium (NM)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No