2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game
San Diego State at Nevada
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 9:30 PM CDT
Mackay Stadium
44
San Diego State
Final
10
Nevada
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 14 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 44 |
| Nevada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: San Diego State at 87%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 6.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -13.4
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
87%
Nevada
13%
Nevada 90% CI: 9% – 18% Δ rating 20.1
San Diego State is the model's favorite at 87%. Nevada has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 9:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No