2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game
Air Force at UNLV
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Allegiant Stadium
48
Air Force
Final
51
UNLV
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 7 | 14 | 7 | 20 | 48 |
| UNLV | 7 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 51 |
GIE pre-game call: UNLV at 76%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Air Force
Mountain West
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 6.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 10-4
- Rating
- 4.3
- National rank
- 57
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Air Force
24%
UNLV
76%
UNLV 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 7.5
UNLV is the model's favorite at 76%. Air Force has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=29 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No