2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Aggie Memorial Stadium
31
Middle Tennessee
Final
24
New Mexico State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| New Mexico State | 7 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: New Mexico State at 59%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
41%
New Mexico State
59%
New Mexico State 90% CI: 50% – 68% Δ rating 0.5
New Mexico State is the model's favorite at 59%. Middle Tennessee has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for New Mexico State — venue-specific learned value (n=41 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Aggie Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No