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2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game

New Mexico State at UTEP

Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST

Sun Bowl

34
New Mexico State
Final
31
UTEP
Team 1234 T
New Mexico State 021310 34
UTEP 21037 31

GIE pre-game call: New Mexico State at 52%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

New Mexico State
Conference USA
Record
4-8
Rating
-15.5
National rank
123
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%
UTEP
Mountain West
Record
2-10
Rating
-17.5
National rank
129
Proj. wins
3.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

New Mexico State
52%
UTEP
48%
UTEP 90% CI: 39% – 57% Δ rating 2.0

New Mexico State is the model's favorite at 52%. UTEP has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Venue
Sun Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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