2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
17
Sam Houston
Final
31
Middle Tennessee
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: Middle Tennessee at 86%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-10
- Rating
- -27.8
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 0.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
14%
Middle Tennessee
86%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 80% – 90% Δ rating 11.8
Middle Tennessee is the model's favorite at 86%. Sam Houston has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No