2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
UTEP at Missouri State
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Plaster Sports Complex
24
UTEP
Final
38
Missouri State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 0 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
| Missouri State | 10 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Missouri State at 78%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 2-10
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 0.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTEP
22%
Missouri State
78%
Missouri State 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 6.8
Missouri State is the model's favorite at 78%. UTEP has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Missouri State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Plaster Sports Complex
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No