2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
26
Middle Tennessee
Final
42
Western Kentucky
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 26 |
| Western Kentucky | 7 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42 |
GIE pre-game call: Western Kentucky at 91%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 1.6
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 0.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
9%
Western Kentucky
91%
Western Kentucky 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 17.6
Western Kentucky is the model's favorite at 91%. Middle Tennessee has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Western Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No