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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Liberty at Florida International

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 4:00 PM CST

Pitbull Stadium

27
Liberty
Final
34
Florida International
Team 1234OT T
Liberty 714060 27
Florida International 710737 34

GIE pre-game call: Liberty at 51%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Liberty
Conference USA
Record
4-8
Rating
-9.0
National rank
102
Proj. wins
1.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Florida International
Conference USA
Record
7-6
Rating
-10.5
National rank
107
Proj. wins
1.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Liberty
51%
Florida International
49%
Florida International 90% CI: 39% – 58% Δ rating 1.5

Liberty is the model's favorite at 51%. Florida International has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 4:00 PM CST
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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