2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
Missouri State at Liberty
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 12:00 PM CST
Williams Stadium (VA)
21
Missouri State
Final
17
Liberty
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 21 |
| Liberty | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: Liberty at 58%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 0.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -9.0
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
42%
Liberty
58%
Liberty 90% CI: 49% – 67% Δ rating 1.7
Liberty is the model's favorite at 58%. Missouri State has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Liberty — venue-specific learned value (n=40 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 12:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Williams Stadium (VA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No