2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
Florida International at Middle Tennessee
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
56
Florida International
Final
30
Middle Tennessee
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida International | 0 | 21 | 13 | 22 | 56 |
| Middle Tennessee | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida International at 59%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -10.5
- National rank
- 107
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 3-9
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida International
59%
Middle Tennessee
41%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 5.5
Florida International is the model's favorite at 59%. Middle Tennessee has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No