2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
16
New Mexico State
Final
35
Western Kentucky
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 |
| Western Kentucky | 0 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 35 |
GIE pre-game call: Western Kentucky at 90%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 1.6
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 0.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
10%
Western Kentucky
90%
Western Kentucky 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 17.1
Western Kentucky is the model's favorite at 90%. New Mexico State has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Western Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No