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2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game

Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee

Wednesday, October 29, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT

Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

24
Jacksonville State
Final
21
Middle Tennessee
Team 1234 T
Jacksonville State 07017 24
Middle Tennessee 6087 21

GIE pre-game call: Jacksonville State at 73%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Jacksonville State
Conference USA
Record
9-5
Rating
-6.7
National rank
92
Proj. wins
1.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
Record
3-9
Rating
-16.0
National rank
127
Proj. wins
1.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Jacksonville State
73%
Middle Tennessee
27%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 20% – 34% Δ rating 9.3

Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 73%. Middle Tennessee has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 29, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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