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2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game

Florida International at Missouri State

Wednesday, October 29, 2025 · 7:00 PM CDT

Plaster Sports Complex

21
Florida International
Final
28
Missouri State
Team 1234 T
Florida International 7707 21
Missouri State 7777 28

GIE pre-game call: Missouri State at 60%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Florida International
Conference USA
Record
7-6
Rating
-10.5
National rank
107
Proj. wins
1.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Missouri State
Conference USA
Record
7-6
Rating
-10.7
National rank
108
Proj. wins
0.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida International
40%
Missouri State
60%
Missouri State 90% CI: 51% – 69% Δ rating 0.2

Missouri State is the model's favorite at 60%. Florida International has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Missouri State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 29, 2025 · 7:00 PM CDT
Venue
Plaster Sports Complex
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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