2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
Missouri State at New Mexico State
Wednesday, October 22, 2025 · 8:00 PM CDT
Aggie Memorial Stadium
24
Missouri State
Final
17
New Mexico State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 7 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 24 |
| New Mexico State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: Missouri State at 57%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 0.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
57%
New Mexico State
43%
New Mexico State 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 4.8
Missouri State is the model's favorite at 57%. New Mexico State has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for New Mexico State — venue-specific learned value (n=41 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, October 22, 2025 · 8:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Aggie Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No