2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
New Mexico State at Liberty
Tuesday, October 14, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
Williams Stadium (VA)
27
New Mexico State
Final
30
Liberty
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 0 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 27 |
| Liberty | 3 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 30 |
GIE pre-game call: Liberty at 69%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -9.0
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
31%
Liberty
69%
Liberty 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 6.5
Liberty is the model's favorite at 69%. New Mexico State has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.0 rating points baked in for Liberty — venue-specific night-game value (n=40 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, October 14, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Williams Stadium (VA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No