2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Cincinnati at TCU
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Amon G. Carter Stadium
23
Cincinnati
Final
45
TCU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 7 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 23 |
| TCU | 21 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 45 |
GIE pre-game call: TCU at 69%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.3
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Cincinnati
31%
TCU
69%
TCU 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 3.8
TCU is the model's favorite at 69%. Cincinnati has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for TCU — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Amon G. Carter Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No