4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game

Arizona at Arizona State

Friday, November 28, 2025 · 8:00 PM CST

Mountain America Stadium

23
Arizona
Final
7
Arizona State
Team 1234 T
Arizona 031010 23
Arizona State 0700 7

GIE pre-game call: Arizona at 63%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Arizona
Big 12
Record
9-4
Rating
12.0
National rank
28
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
3%
Arizona State
Big 12
Record
8-5
Rating
3.9
National rank
60
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona
63%
Arizona State
37%
Arizona State 90% CI: 28% – 46% Δ rating 8.1

Arizona is the model's favorite at 63%. Arizona State has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 28, 2025 · 8:00 PM CST
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home