2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
TCU at Houston
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 3:00 PM CST
TDECU Stadium
17
TCU
Final
14
Houston
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 |
| Houston | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
GIE pre-game call: Houston at 58%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.3
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 10-3
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
TCU
42%
Houston
58%
Houston 90% CI: 49% – 67% Δ rating 0.9
Houston is the model's favorite at 58%. TCU has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 3:00 PM CST
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No