2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Arizona at Cincinnati
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Nippert Stadium
30
Arizona
Final
24
Cincinnati
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 30 |
| Cincinnati | 14 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: Arizona at 65%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arizona
65%
Cincinnati
35%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 27% – 43% Δ rating 7.5
Arizona is the model's favorite at 65%. Cincinnati has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No