2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
TCU at BYU
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 9:15 PM CST
LaVell Edwards Stadium
13
TCU
Final
44
BYU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| BYU | 10 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 44 |
GIE pre-game call: BYU at 79%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.3
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 12-2
- Rating
- 15.9
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
TCU
21%
BYU
79%
BYU 90% CI: 72% – 84% Δ rating 7.6
BYU is the model's favorite at 79%. TCU has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 9:15 PM CST
- Venue
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No