2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
Houston at UCF
Friday, November 7, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
FBC Mortgage Stadium
30
Houston
Final
27
UCF
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 0 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 30 |
| UCF | 3 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
GIE pre-game call: Houston at 65%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 10-3
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
65%
UCF
35%
UCF 90% CI: 27% – 44% Δ rating 8.6
Houston is the model's favorite at 65%. UCF has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.6 rating points baked in for UCF — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 7, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
- Venue
- FBC Mortgage Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No