2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
Iowa State at TCU
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Amon G. Carter Stadium
20
Iowa State
Final
17
TCU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 |
| TCU | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: TCU at 53%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 8-4
- Rating
- 9.9
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.3
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa State
47%
TCU
53%
TCU 90% CI: 44% – 63% Δ rating 1.6
TCU is the model's favorite at 53%. Iowa State has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for TCU — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Amon G. Carter Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No