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2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game

Arizona State at Iowa State

Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 12:00 PM CDT

Jack Trice Stadium

24
Arizona State
Final
19
Iowa State
Team 1234 T
Arizona State 31470 24
Iowa State 31330 19

GIE pre-game call: Iowa State at 83%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Arizona State
Big 12
Record
8-5
Rating
3.9
National rank
60
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Iowa State
Big 12
Record
8-4
Rating
9.9
National rank
33
Proj. wins
7.2
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona State
17%
Iowa State
83%
Iowa State 90% CI: 78% – 88% Δ rating 6.0

Iowa State is the model's favorite at 83%. Arizona State has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.9 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 12:00 PM CDT
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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