2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game
UCF at Baylor
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
McLane Stadium
3
UCF
Final
30
Baylor
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Baylor | 14 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 30 |
GIE pre-game call: Baylor at 61%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- 1.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
39%
Baylor
61%
Baylor 90% CI: 52% – 69% Δ rating 2.6
Baylor is the model's favorite at 61%. UCF has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
- Venue
- McLane Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No