4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game

Baylor at Cincinnati

Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 3:00 PM CDT

Nippert Stadium

20
Baylor
Final
41
Cincinnati
Team 1234 T
Baylor 0668 20
Cincinnati 1410314 41

GIE pre-game call: Cincinnati at 67%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Baylor
Big 12
Record
5-7
Rating
1.4
National rank
71
Proj. wins
5.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
Record
7-6
Rating
4.5
National rank
56
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Baylor
33%
Cincinnati
67%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 58% – 74% Δ rating 3.1

Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 67%. Baylor has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 3:00 PM CDT
Venue
Nippert Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home