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2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game

Baylor at TCU

Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT

Amon G. Carter Stadium

36
Baylor
Final
42
TCU
Team 1234 T
Baylor 73818 36
TCU 021714 42

GIE pre-game call: TCU at 77%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Baylor
Big 12
Record
5-7
Rating
1.4
National rank
71
Proj. wins
5.1
Playoff prob.
0%
TCU
Big 12
Record
9-4
Rating
8.3
National rank
37
Proj. wins
6.8
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Baylor
23%
TCU
77%
TCU 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 6.9

TCU is the model's favorite at 77%. Baylor has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for TCU — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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