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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

TCU at Kansas State

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT

Bill Snyder Family Stadium

28
TCU
Final
41
Kansas State
Team 1234 T
TCU 07714 28
Kansas State 0141413 41

GIE pre-game call: Kansas State at 58%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

TCU
Big 12
Record
9-4
Rating
8.3
National rank
37
Proj. wins
6.8
Playoff prob.
1%
Kansas State
Big 12
Record
6-6
Rating
7.0
National rank
42
Proj. wins
7.0
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

TCU
42%
Kansas State
58%
Kansas State 90% CI: 48% – 66% Δ rating 1.3

Kansas State is the model's favorite at 58%. TCU has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Kansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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