2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game
UCF at Cincinnati
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Nippert Stadium
11
UCF
Final
20
Cincinnati
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 |
| Cincinnati | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 20 |
GIE pre-game call: Cincinnati at 73%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
27%
Cincinnati
73%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 5.7
Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 73%. UCF has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No