2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
North Carolina at NC State
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
Carter-Finley Stadium
19
North Carolina
Final
42
NC State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 0 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| NC State | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42 |
GIE pre-game call: NC State at 87%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Carolina
13%
NC State
87%
NC State 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 11.4
NC State is the model's favorite at 87%. North Carolina has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No