2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Louisville at SMU
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
6
Louisville
Final
38
SMU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| SMU | 7 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: SMU at 68%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 13.4
- National rank
- 23
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisville
32%
SMU
68%
SMU 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 1.0
SMU is the model's favorite at 68%. Louisville has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No