2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Duke at North Carolina
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Kenan Stadium
32
Duke
Final
25
North Carolina
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 |
| North Carolina | 7 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 25 |
GIE pre-game call: Duke at 84%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 9-5
- Rating
- 6.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Duke
84%
North Carolina
16%
North Carolina 90% CI: 12% – 22% Δ rating 13.2
Duke is the model's favorite at 84%. North Carolina has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.1 rating points baked in for North Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Kenan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No